6.2 KiB
6.2 KiB
路由：按事件检索
本文件用于把用户问题中的事件类型、时间节点或情境描述映射到 events/、相关叙事、行动者和 playbook。事件不是单独使用的事实点，应放回行动者、议题和时间线中理解。
使用原则
- 明确事件类型：选举、军事、外交、政策、社会动员、认知传播、经济胁迫。
- 先读具体事件文件；没有具体事件文件时，读对应
events/timelines/或events/recurring_patterns/。 - 事件涉及具体人物、机构或国家时，加读
routing/by_actor.md。 - 当前事件或每日热点事件，按
routing/by_timeframe.md加读live/。
一、选举与政党事件
| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 总统三脚督 | events/key_events/event_2024_election_three_way.md |
analysis/elections/2028_election_outlook.md, entities/parties/cross_party_alliances.md, playbooks/analyzing_vote_transfer.md |
| 2024 立委选举、三党不过半 | events/key_events/event_2024_legislative_election.md, events/key_events/event_2024_legislative_no_majority.md |
entities/institutions/legislative_yuan_overview.md, primitives/frameworks/minority_government_dynamics.md |
| 蓝白合破局 | events/key_events/event_blue_white_collaboration_failure_2023.md |
entities/parties/tpp_post_ko.md, entities/parties/kmt_two_lines_struggle.md |
| 罢免运动 | events/key_events/event_recall_movements_2024_25.md |
events/recurring_patterns/pattern_recall_weaponization.md, primitives/concepts/recall_system_taiwan.md |
| 2028 选举预测 | analysis/elections/2028_election_outlook.md |
events/recurring_patterns/pattern_eight_year_alternation.md, playbooks/scenario_planning_2028.md |
二、两岸与军事事件
| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 台海导弹危机 | events/key_events/event_strait_missile_crisis_1996.md |
events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md, playbooks/historical_analogy_analysis.md |
| 佩洛西访台、2022 围台军演 | events/key_events/event_pelosi_visit_2022.md, events/key_events/event_blockade_drills_aug_2022.md |
narratives/cross_strait/blockade_scenarios.md, playbooks/assessing_escalation_risk.md |
| 联合利剑、2024 军演 | events/key_events/event_joint_sword_2024_drills.md |
entities/foreign_actors/pla_eastern_theater.md, playbooks/analyzing_pla_activity.md |
| 解放军常态化绕台 | events/key_events/event_pla_drills_around_taiwan_routine.md, events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md |
narratives/china_side/military_pressure_normalization.md |
| 反分裂国家法、22 条 | events/key_events/event_anti_secession_law_2005.md, events/key_events/event_22_articles_2024.md |
narratives/china_side/legal_warfare_anti_secession.md, primitives/concepts/anti_secession_law.md |
| 习近平对台讲话 | events/key_events/event_xi_jan_2_2019_speech.md, events/key_events/event_xi_20th_congress_taiwan.md |
entities/people/xi_jinping_taiwan_policy.md, narratives/china_side/unification_process_discourse.md |
三、美台与国际外交事件
| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 蔡麦会、过境外交 | events/key_events/event_tsai_mccarthy_meeting_2023.md, events/recurring_patterns/pattern_taiwan_president_transit.md |
narratives/us_taiwan/us_taiwan_back_channels.md, playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md |
| 美国国会涉台行动 | events/key_events/event_select_committee_ccp_2023.md |
entities/foreign_actors/us_congress_taiwan_caucus.md, playbooks/analyzing_congressional_action.md |
| 美对台军售 | routing/by_arms_sales.md, events/timelines/major_us_taiwan_arms_sales_timeline.md, events/recurring_patterns/pattern_arms_sales_timing.md, events/recurring_patterns/pattern_china_response_to_arms_sales.md |
narratives/us_taiwan/arms_sales_dynamics.md, playbooks/analyzing_arms_sales_announcement.md, playbooks/arms_sales_case_reconstruction.md |
| 立陶宛台湾代表处 | events/key_events/event_lithuania_taiwan_office_2021.md |
narratives/international/eu_taiwan_relations.md, entities/foreign_actors/prc_coercion_toolbox_europe.md |
| 邦交国转换 | events/recurring_patterns/pattern_diplomatic_switch.md, events/timelines/taiwan_diplomatic_allies_loss.md |
narratives/international/taiwan_diplomatic_allies_strategy.md |
四、国内政策与社会动员事件
| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 太阳花运动 | events/key_events/event_sunflower_2014.md |
narratives/cross_strait/cross_strait_exchanges_current.md, playbooks/historical_analogy_analysis.md |
| 香港 2019 对台湾影响 | events/key_events/event_hong_kong_2019_taiwan_impact.md |
narratives/cross_strait/taiwanese_identity_narrative.md, narratives/china_side/one_country_two_systems_taiwan_version.md |
| 国会改革争议 | events/key_events/event_legislative_reform_controversy_2024.md |
events/key_events/event_constitutional_court_ruling_2024.md, entities/institutions/legislative_yuan_overview.md |
| 兵役延长 | events/key_events/event_conscription_extension_2022.md |
narratives/domestic/all_out_defense_discourse.md, narratives/us_taiwan/asymmetric_warfare_discourse.md |
| 能源、住房、薪资等社会政策 | 先读 routing/by_topic.md 对应国内议题 |
policies/housing_policy_details.md, narratives/domestic/ |
五、重复模式与时间线
当问题不是单一事件，而是“是否又出现某种模式”，优先读取：
- 选举周期：
events/recurring_patterns/pattern_eight_year_alternation.md,events/recurring_patterns/pattern_mid_term_punishment.md,events/recurring_patterns/pattern_pendulum_swings.md - 北京反应：
events/recurring_patterns/pattern_pre_election_pressure.md,events/recurring_patterns/pattern_post_election_signal.md,events/recurring_patterns/pattern_inauguration_response.md - 外交与军售：
events/recurring_patterns/pattern_us_visits_response.md,events/recurring_patterns/pattern_arms_sales_timing.md - 两岸长期脉络：
events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md,events/timelines/economic_engagement_timeline.md,events/timelines/us_taiwan_2024_present_trump_2.md