# 路由：按事件检索

本文件用于把用户问题中的事件类型、时间节点或情境描述映射到 `events/`、相关叙事、行动者和 playbook。事件不是单独使用的事实点，应放回行动者、议题和时间线中理解。

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## 使用原则

- 明确事件类型：选举、军事、外交、政策、社会动员、认知传播、经济胁迫。
- 先读具体事件文件；没有具体事件文件时，读对应 `events/timelines/` 或 `events/recurring_patterns/`。
- 事件涉及具体人物、机构或国家时，加读 `routing/by_actor.md`。
- 当前事件或每日热点事件，按 `routing/by_timeframe.md` 加读 `live/`。

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## 一、选举与政党事件

| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 总统三脚督 | `events/key_events/event_2024_election_three_way.md` | `analysis/elections/2028_election_outlook.md`, `entities/parties/cross_party_alliances.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_vote_transfer.md` |
| 2024 立委选举、三党不过半 | `events/key_events/event_2024_legislative_election.md`, `events/key_events/event_2024_legislative_no_majority.md` | `entities/institutions/legislative_yuan_overview.md`, `primitives/frameworks/minority_government_dynamics.md` |
| 蓝白合破局 | `events/key_events/event_blue_white_collaboration_failure_2023.md` | `entities/parties/tpp_post_ko.md`, `entities/parties/kmt_two_lines_struggle.md` |
| 罢免运动 | `events/key_events/event_recall_movements_2024_25.md` | `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_recall_weaponization.md`, `primitives/concepts/recall_system_taiwan.md` |
| 2028 选举预测 | `analysis/elections/2028_election_outlook.md` | `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_eight_year_alternation.md`, `playbooks/scenario_planning_2028.md` |

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## 二、两岸与军事事件

| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 台海导弹危机 | `events/key_events/event_strait_missile_crisis_1996.md` | `events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md`, `playbooks/historical_analogy_analysis.md` |
| 佩洛西访台、2022 围台军演 | `events/key_events/event_pelosi_visit_2022.md`, `events/key_events/event_blockade_drills_aug_2022.md` | `narratives/cross_strait/blockade_scenarios.md`, `playbooks/assessing_escalation_risk.md` |
| 联合利剑、2024 军演 | `events/key_events/event_joint_sword_2024_drills.md` | `entities/foreign_actors/pla_eastern_theater.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_pla_activity.md` |
| 解放军常态化绕台 | `events/key_events/event_pla_drills_around_taiwan_routine.md`, `events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md` | `narratives/china_side/military_pressure_normalization.md` |
| 反分裂国家法、22 条 | `events/key_events/event_anti_secession_law_2005.md`, `events/key_events/event_22_articles_2024.md` | `narratives/china_side/legal_warfare_anti_secession.md`, `primitives/concepts/anti_secession_law.md` |
| 习近平对台讲话 | `events/key_events/event_xi_jan_2_2019_speech.md`, `events/key_events/event_xi_20th_congress_taiwan.md` | `entities/people/xi_jinping_taiwan_policy.md`, `narratives/china_side/unification_process_discourse.md` |

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## 三、美台与国际外交事件

| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 蔡麦会、过境外交 | `events/key_events/event_tsai_mccarthy_meeting_2023.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_taiwan_president_transit.md` | `narratives/us_taiwan/us_taiwan_back_channels.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md` |
| 美国国会涉台行动 | `events/key_events/event_select_committee_ccp_2023.md` | `entities/foreign_actors/us_congress_taiwan_caucus.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_congressional_action.md` |
| 美对台军售 | `routing/by_arms_sales.md`, `events/timelines/major_us_taiwan_arms_sales_timeline.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_arms_sales_timing.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_china_response_to_arms_sales.md` | `narratives/us_taiwan/arms_sales_dynamics.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_arms_sales_announcement.md`, `playbooks/arms_sales_case_reconstruction.md` |
| 立陶宛台湾代表处 | `events/key_events/event_lithuania_taiwan_office_2021.md` | `narratives/international/eu_taiwan_relations.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/prc_coercion_toolbox_europe.md` |
| 邦交国转换 | `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_diplomatic_switch.md`, `events/timelines/taiwan_diplomatic_allies_loss.md` | `narratives/international/taiwan_diplomatic_allies_strategy.md` |

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## 四、国内政策与社会动员事件

| 触发事件 | 优先读取 | 常见联读 |
|---|---|---|
| 太阳花运动 | `events/key_events/event_sunflower_2014.md` | `narratives/cross_strait/cross_strait_exchanges_current.md`, `playbooks/historical_analogy_analysis.md` |
| 香港 2019 对台湾影响 | `events/key_events/event_hong_kong_2019_taiwan_impact.md` | `narratives/cross_strait/taiwanese_identity_narrative.md`, `narratives/china_side/one_country_two_systems_taiwan_version.md` |
| 国会改革争议 | `events/key_events/event_legislative_reform_controversy_2024.md` | `events/key_events/event_constitutional_court_ruling_2024.md`, `entities/institutions/legislative_yuan_overview.md` |
| 兵役延长 | `events/key_events/event_conscription_extension_2022.md` | `narratives/domestic/all_out_defense_discourse.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/asymmetric_warfare_discourse.md` |
| 能源、住房、薪资等社会政策 | 先读 `routing/by_topic.md` 对应国内议题 | `policies/housing_policy_details.md`, `narratives/domestic/` |

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## 五、重复模式与时间线

当问题不是单一事件，而是“是否又出现某种模式”，优先读取：

- 选举周期：`events/recurring_patterns/pattern_eight_year_alternation.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_mid_term_punishment.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_pendulum_swings.md`
- 北京反应：`events/recurring_patterns/pattern_pre_election_pressure.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_post_election_signal.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_inauguration_response.md`
- 外交与军售：`events/recurring_patterns/pattern_us_visits_response.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_arms_sales_timing.md`
- 两岸长期脉络：`events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md`, `events/timelines/economic_engagement_timeline.md`, `events/timelines/us_taiwan_2024_present_trump_2.md`