# 路由：按议题检索

本文件根据用户问题的议题主轴指引应读取的 narrative、entity、event、primitive 与 playbook。它只引用当前知识库中已经存在的文件和目录。

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## 使用原则

- 议题优先定位到 `narratives/`，再联读 `entities/`、`events/`、`primitives/`。
- 问题涉及具体人物或机构时，加读 `routing/by_actor.md`。
- 问题涉及近期动态时，加读 `routing/by_timeframe.md` 与 `live/_MANIFEST.md`。
- 问题需要预测、比较、归因时，先按 `routing/by_question_type.md` 选择 playbook。

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## 一、两岸与台海安全

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 主权、定位、现状 | `primitives/concepts/sovereignty_terminology.md`, `primitives/concepts/status_quo_definition.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/status_quo_drift.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/roc_constitution_position.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_cross_strait_rhetoric.md` |
| 九二共识、一中框架 | `primitives/concepts/92_consensus_evolution.md`, `primitives/concepts/one_china_three_versions.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/92_consensus_reinterpretation.md`, `narratives/china_side/1992_consensus_beijing_version.md` | `playbooks/decoding_signal_words.md` |
| 战争和平叙事 | `narratives/cross_strait/war_peace_dichotomy.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/avoid_war_frame.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/peace_talk_discourse.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_pre_election_pressure.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_cross_strait_rhetoric.md`, `playbooks/assessing_escalation_risk.md` |
| 军演、封锁、灰色地带 | `primitives/concepts/gray_zone_operations.md`, `narratives/china_side/military_pressure_normalization.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/blockade_scenarios.md`, `events/timelines/military_pressure_timeline.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_pla_activity.md`, `playbooks/assessing_escalation_risk.md` |
| 防卫、兵役、全民国防 | `narratives/cross_strait/defense_self_strengthening.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/civilian_defense_discourse.md`, `narratives/domestic/all_out_defense_discourse.md`, `narratives/domestic/asymmetric_defense_discourse.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_pla_activity.md` |
| 两岸经贸、经济胁迫 | `narratives/cross_strait/ecfa_legacy_debate.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/chinese_market_dependency.md`, `narratives/china_side/economic_coercion_examples.md`, `primitives/frameworks/economic_coercion_analysis.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_economic_coercion.md` |

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## 二、美台关系

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 美国对台承诺 | `primitives/concepts/taiwan_relations_act.md`, `primitives/concepts/six_assurances.md`, `primitives/concepts/strategic_ambiguity.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/us_commitment_evidence.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md` |
| 疑美论、棋子论 | `narratives/us_taiwan/skepticism_of_us.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/us_will_abandon_taiwan.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/taiwan_as_us_pawn.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/us_actual_policy_record.md` | `playbooks/narrative_attribution_protocol.md`, `playbooks/tracking_narrative_lifecycle.md` |
| 川普 2.0 | `entities/foreign_actors/trump_administration_2.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/donald_trump.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/trump_taiwan_uncertainty.md`, `primitives/frameworks/trump_factor_analysis.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_us_official_statements.md` |
| 军售与防卫合作 | `routing/by_arms_sales.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/arms_sales_dynamics.md`, `events/timelines/major_us_taiwan_arms_sales_timeline.md`, `primitives/frameworks/us_foreign_military_sales_process.md`, `events/recurring_patterns/pattern_china_response_to_arms_sales.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_arms_sales_announcement.md`, `playbooks/arms_sales_case_reconstruction.md`, `playbooks/arms_sales_comprehensive_report_generation.md` |
| 半导体、供应链 | `narratives/us_taiwan/chip_act_taiwan_impact.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/chip_island_discourse.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/tsmc_us_factory_discourse.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/economic_decoupling_taiwan_role.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md` |
| 国会与智库 | `entities/foreign_actors/us_congress_taiwan_caucus.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/us_legislation_on_taiwan.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/csis.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/brookings.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_congressional_action.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_us_think_tank_reports.md` |

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## 三、日台与区域安全

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 台湾有事即日本有事 | `narratives/japan_taiwan/taiwan_emergency_japan_emergency.md`, `narratives/japan_taiwan/japan_us_alliance_taiwan_role.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/japan_pm_office.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_japanese_position.md` |
| 日本对台政策机制 | `entities/foreign_actors/japan_mofa_taiwan_policy.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/japan_jaa_taipei.md`, `entities/governments/japan_taiwan_policy_mechanism.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_japanese_position.md` |
| 自民党与亲台网络 | `entities/foreign_actors/japan_lpd_taiwan_committee.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/ldp_pro_taiwan.md`, `narratives/japan_taiwan/lpd_pro_taiwan_faction.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_japanese_position.md` |
| 美日台三角 | `entities/alliances/us_japan_alliance_and_taiwan.md`, `narratives/japan_taiwan/us_japan_taiwan_triangle.md`, `narratives/japan_taiwan/japan_taiwan_strategic_cooperation.md` | `playbooks/assessing_escalation_risk.md` |
| 半导体供应链 | `narratives/japan_taiwan/semiconductor_supply_chain.md`, `narratives/domestic/semiconductor_geopolitics.md`, `narratives/us_taiwan/chip_island_discourse.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md` |

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## 四、台湾国内政治与社会议题

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 选举前景 | `analysis/elections/2028_election_outlook.md`, `narratives/domestic/election_cycles_2028.md`, `events/key_events/event_2024_election_three_way.md` | `playbooks/scenario_planning_2028.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_vote_transfer.md` |
| 政党竞争与派系 | `entities/parties/`, `primitives/frameworks/taiwan_party_system.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_faction_dynamics.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_party_strategy.md` |
| 立法院与少数政府 | `entities/institutions/legislative_yuan_overview.md`, `events/key_events/event_2024_legislative_no_majority.md`, `primitives/frameworks/minority_government_dynamics.md` | `playbooks/coalition_scenario_analysis.md` |
| 青年、世代、身份 | `narratives/domestic/youth_political_alienation.md`, `narratives/domestic/generational_divide_voting.md`, `primitives/concepts/generation_politics.md`, `primitives/concepts/national_identity.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_vote_transfer.md` |
| 住房、工资、少子化 | `narratives/domestic/housing_crisis_discourse.md`, `narratives/domestic/wage_stagnation_narrative.md`, `narratives/domestic/low_birthrate_discourse.md`, `policies/housing_policy_details.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_party_strategy.md` |
| 能源、产业、半导体 | `narratives/domestic/energy_policy_controversy.md`, `narratives/domestic/energy_transition_discourse.md`, `narratives/domestic/industrial_policy_discourse.md`, `narratives/domestic/semiconductor_politics.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_party_strategy.md` |
| 转型正义、族群、移民 | `narratives/cross_strait/transitional_justice_discourse.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/2_28_legacy.md`, `narratives/domestic/indigenous_political_voice.md`, `narratives/domestic/new_immigrants_discourse.md` | `playbooks/historical_analogy_analysis.md` |

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## 五、认知、媒体与信息环境

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 认知战与假讯息 | `primitives/concepts/cognitive_warfare.md`, `primitives/frameworks/disinformation_attribution.md`, `narratives/cross_strait/cognitive_warfare_taiwan.md`, `narratives/domestic/cognitive_warfare_defense.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_disinformation_campaign.md` |
| 叙事生命周期 | `primitives/frameworks/narrative_lifecycle.md`, `playbooks/tracking_narrative_lifecycle.md`, `primitives/frameworks/cross_platform_diffusion.md` | `playbooks/tracking_narrative_lifecycle.md` |
| 媒体生态 | `entities/media/media_political_spectrum.md`, `entities/media/media_ownership_map.md`, `entities/media/social_media_political_landscape.md` | `playbooks/detecting_coordinated_behavior.md` |
| 政治话术与暗语 | `reference/code_words_and_euphemisms.md`, `playbooks/decoding_signal_words.md`, `primitives/concepts/narrative_attribution.md` | `playbooks/decoding_signal_words.md` |

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## 六、受众与传播对象

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 世代受众 | `audiences/generational/youth_18_35.md`, `audiences/generational/middle_age_36_55.md`, `audiences/generational/senior_56plus.md`, `audiences/generational/generation_comparison.md` | `playbooks/audience_profile_analysis.md` |
| 政治认同受众 | `audiences/political_identity/deep_blue.md`, `audiences/political_identity/light_blue.md`, `audiences/political_identity/deep_green.md`, `audiences/political_identity/light_green.md`, `audiences/political_identity/white_camp_audience.md`, `audiences/political_identity/swing_voters.md` | `playbooks/audience_profile_analysis.md` |
| 政治冷感与摆荡群体 | `audiences/political_identity/politically_apathetic.md`, `audiences/political_identity/swing_voters.md`, `audiences/political_identity/political_identity_overview.md` | `playbooks/audience_profile_analysis.md`, `playbooks/analyzing_vote_transfer.md` |
| 叙事与目标受众匹配 | `audiences/`, `narratives/`, `entities/media/` | `playbooks/narrative_audience_match.md` |
| 社会身份受众 | `audiences/social_identity/`, `entities/parties/`, `entities/media/` | `playbooks/audience_profile_analysis.md` |

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## 七、国际与多边议题

| 子议题 | 主要文件 | 常用 playbook |
|---|---|---|
| 欧台、欧中与去风险 | `narratives/international/eu_taiwan_relations.md`, `narratives/international/eu_china_relations.md`, `narratives/international/eu_china_derisking.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/eu_external_action_service.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md` |
| 印太与区域国家 | `narratives/international/taiwan_in_indo_pacific.md`, `narratives/international/india_taiwan_relations.md`, `narratives/international/vietnam_philippines_taiwan.md`, `entities/foreign_actors/quad_and_taiwan.md` | `playbooks/assessing_escalation_risk.md` |
| 邦交国与国际组织 | `narratives/international/taiwan_diplomatic_allies_strategy.md`, `narratives/international/taiwan_un_participation.md`, `narratives/international/taiwan_who_advocacy.md`, `primitives/concepts/un_resolution_2758.md` | `playbooks/analyzing_us_taiwan_signals.md` |